ER26-3380-000 · 2026-08-21 · Sierra ClubNatural Resources Defense Council
Limited Protest of Sierra Club et al. to one aspect of PJM Interconnection, LLC’s proposed Reliability Backstop Procurement
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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
BEFORE THE
FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION
PJM Interconnection, LLC
)
)
)
Docket No. ER 26-3380
LIMITED PROTEST OF PUBLIC INTEREST ORGANIZATIONS
Pursuant to Rule 211 of the Rules of Practice and Procedure of the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission (“FERC” or the “Commission”),1 Sierra Club and Natural Resources
Defense Council (“NRDC”) (collectively, “Public Interest Organizations” or “PIOs”) submit this
limited protest of one aspect of PJM Interconnection, LLC’s (“PJM”) proposed Reliability
Backstop Procurement (“RBP”).2 For the reasons described below, PIOs urge the Commission to
approve PJM’s RBP Filing with a modification to either require RBP supply to be located near to
large loads, or to require RBP supply to be fully responsible for funding necessary network
upgrades, which will enable the RBP to better achieve its intended objectives.
Introduction
The unprecedented number of new large load additions, mostly data centers, in the PJM
footprint has outstripped new supply, and PJM’s capacity auctions have cleared short of the
region’s reliability requirement for consecutive auctions despite hitting auction price caps in both
auctions.3 These shortfalls increase the risk of loss-of-load events and sustained high-capacity
1 18 C.F.R. § 385.211.
2 PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., Reliability Backstop Procurement to Address Resource Adequacy
Concerns Stemming from Large Loads, Docket No. ER26-3380-000 (July 31, 2026), Accession
No. 20260731-5214 (“RBP Filing”).
3 The auction fell short by 6,623 MW and 6,831 MW of unforced capacity in the 2027/2028 and
2028/2029 auctions, respectively. Id. at 7–8.
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prices for existing ratepayers who are not responsible for these new shortfalls. The RBP is an
attempt by PJM to remedy these shortfalls without shifting costs to residential and other existing
ratepayers. PJM proposes a one-time procurement of new capacity sized to the 2028/2029
shortfall, with costs that will be allocated to the zones and load-serving entities (“LSEs”) serving
the new large loads that are driving the unprecedented new demand.4 PIOs generally support
PJM’s proposal to procure new capacity and allocate costs to the large loads that require it.
PIOs support many aspects of the RBP Filing. For example, PJM is admirably candid
about the fact that the capacity shortfalls are “primarily driven by the unprecedented addition of
large loads, most notably data centers.”5 PJM also takes seriously and attempts to realize the
Ratepayer Protection Pledge, in which the nation’s largest data center developers and utilities
committed to “build, bring, or buy” the new generation their new demand requires and to pay
“the full cost of those resources.”6 In an effort to ensure that costs of the RBP are borne by the
large loads, PJM structured the RBP charges, which are reduced by Qualifying RBP Offsets
where load has already procured its own new capacity,7 to flow to the zones where the new large
loads are being built under a load-adjustment methodology that the Commission has already
approved.8 PJM’s proposal achieves this cost allocation while respecting state jurisdiction by
4 See id. at 7, 31, 100–04.
5 Id. at 1.
6 Ratepayer Protection Pledge, The White House (Mar. 4, 2026),
https://www.whitehouse.gov/ratepayer-protection-pledge/#signatories (“White House Ratepayer
Protection Pledge” or “Ratepayer Protection Pledge”); see RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 16–18
(describing the Pledge and its July 23, 2026 expansion to more than 200 utilities, developers,
cooperatives, and governors).
7 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 35–44.
8 Id. at 100–02.
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assigning costs with sufficient information on which loads are the cost causers such that states
and retail regulatory authorities are able to assign costs appropriately.9
PJM’s consent to modification is a further signal that it is committed to the most effective
RBP possible. Rather than a present a take-it-or-leave-it package, PJM “consents to the
Commission’s exercise of authority to modify and/or sever any element of the proposed Tariff
and RAA language,” so long as any modification “is consistent with PJM’s overarching
objectives in this filing.”10 PJM invites stakeholders to “comment as they feel necessary and
appropriate.”11 PIOs accept this invitation by proposing a narrow but important modification that
the Commission can prescribe in an order approving the RBP.
PJM’s consent is bounded by its “overarching objectives in this filing,” yet the RBP
Filing never defines these objectives explicitly.12 Fairly read, however, the RBP pursues four
objectives:
1. Identify and procure the correct amount of capacity;
2. Procure new capacity that is additive to the PJM system, not a mere reshuffling of
existing resources;
3. Procure new capacity on time; and
4. Ensure that the large loads that require new capacity bear their full costs without shifting
costs to other ratepayers and while preserving state authority over retail cost allocation.
This limited protest identifies a narrow but important modification that will help the RBP
advance these objectives. PJM’s proposal currently lacks any requirement regarding the location
9 Id. at 99–100.
10 Id. at 3.
11 Id. at 132.
12 Id. at 131.
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of RBP supply. Instead, PJM argues that RBP resources may be located anywhere in the region
because the interconnection process will ensure that supply is initially deliverable to load, and
the regional transmission planning process will ensure that supply remains deliverable over the
long term. However, as discussed below, PJM’s proposal to allow RBP supply to be located
anywhere in the footprint will make the RBP’s success reliant on large-scale network upgrades
that will likely cause significant delays and incur significant costs. Further, the interconnection
process and regional transmission process risk inappropriately spreading the costs of network
upgrades to other interconnection customers and ratepayers, rather than achieving the goal of the
RBP—and the goals of federal and state policies—to require large loads to bear their own costs.
To remedy this defect, this protest respectfully recommends that the Commission modify the
RBP filing by either requiring RBP supply to be located near to demand, or by requiring RBP
supply resources to be fully responsible for the cost of network upgrades. Such a modification
will reduce reliance on large, slow, costly network upgrades and better achieve the RBP’s
objectives of bringing new supply online quickly and facilitating appropriate allocation of costs
to LSEs serving new large loads.
Importantly, this modification will disturb neither the RBP’s architecture nor its schedule,
and falls squarely within PJM’s consent. This modification will help the RBP procure the new
capacity the region needs, where it needs it, with costs borne by the large loads that require it.
Background
I.
PJM’s capacity market is facing reliability and affordability concerns as PJM
struggles to meet data center load growth.
PJM’s capacity market, the Reliability Pricing Model (“RPM”), worked relatively well
for the two decades since it was first established in 2006. Its market was built for predictable,
gradual load growth where new generation resources could be built within the market’s three-
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year forward timeline.13 However, as load growth, generation retirement, and supply chain
development time have all increased in the past few years, PJM has recognized that the current
state of its market is untenable.14 PJM’s markets are facing two major pain points: (1) data center
load is growing too fast for PJM’s supply, leading to reliability concerns; and (2) PJM’s supply
and demand imbalance is causing high capacity prices, leading to higher bills for all ratepayers.
A.
PJM’s capacity market faces increased reliability risks as data center load
grows too quickly for PJM’s supply.
First, PJM’s market is facing unprecedented load growth from rising data center demand,
causing major supply and demand imbalances and increased reliability risks. Markets across the
U.S. have not experienced this level of demand growth in decades. Electricity demand in the
U.S. was relatively flat from the early 2000s until the early 2020s.15 That trend has quickly
changed. Over the next five years, the U.S. is expecting electricity usage to grow 5.7% per
year.16 Data centers are expected to make up 25% to 55% of the total demand growth in the U.S.
13 PJM, Powering Reliability Through Market Design, 4 (May 6, 2026), https://www.pjm.com/-
/media/DotCom/library/reports-notices/special-reports/2026/20260506-powering-reliability-
through-market-design.pdf.
14 Id. at 3.
15 Mark Schipper & Tyler Hodge, After More Than a Decade of Little Change, U.S. Electricity
Consumption is Rising Again, U.S. Energy Info. Admin. (May 13, 2025),
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65264.
16 John Wilson et. al., Grid Strategies, Power Demand Forecasts Revised Up for Third Year
Running, Led by Data Centers, 6 (Nov. 2025), https://gridstrategiesllc.com/wp-
content/uploads/Grid-Strategies-National-Load-Growth-Report-2025.pdf (“Grid Strategies 2025
Load Growth Report”).
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through 2030.17 PJM predicts that 30 GW of large load demand will come online by 2030 and 70
GW of large load demand will come online by 2038.18
Most data center load growth through 2030 will be concentrated in the Electric
Reliability Council of Texas (“ERCOT”) and PJM.19 Three states—Virginia, Texas, and
California—host the highest concentration of data centers, and Virginia hosts the largest number
of data centers in the country.20 PJM’s Dominion Zone, which covers Virginia, is expected to
have the largest absolute increase in summer peak demand through 2030.21 RTO-wide, PJM
expects its peak load growth to increase 65,733 MW by 2036 for its summer peak and 66,980
MW for its winter peak.22
PJM’s expected data center load growth is incompatible with current generation
development timelines. While developers can typically build hyperscale data centers within 18 to
17 Id. at 3; Jonathan Koomey et. al, Bipartisan Pol’y Ctr. & Koomey Analytics, Electricity
Demand Growth and Data Centers: A Guide for the Perplexed, 10 (Feb. 2025),
https://bipartisanpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/BPC-Report-Electricity-Demand-
Growth-and-Data-Centers-A-Guide-for-the-Perplexed.pdf.
18 Letter from Paula Conboy, Chair, PJM Board of Managers, to PJM Stakeholders on Critical
Issue Fast Path – Reliability Backstop Procurement and Connect and Manage, 1 (Jul. 27, 2026),
https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/about-pjm/who-we-are/public-
disclosures/2026/20260727-board-decisional-letter-on-cifp-reliability-backstop-procurement-
and-connect-and-manage.pdf 1 (“PJM Board July 2026 Decisional Letter”); PJM Proposes
Framework to Connect Data Centers Without Compromising Reliability, Affordability, PJM
Inside Lines (Aug. 13, 2026), https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-proposes-framework-to-connect-
data-centers-without-compromising-reliability-affordability/.
19 Grid Strategies 2025 Load Growth Report, supra note 15 at 5.
20 Rebecca Leppert, What We Know About Energy Use at U.S. Data Centers Amid the AI Boom,
Pew Research Center, Pew Research (Oct. 24, 2025), https://www.pewresearch.org/short-
reads/2025/10/24/what-we-know-about-energy-use-at-us-data-centers-amid-the-ai-boom/.
21 Mark Schipper & Jonathan Church, Commercial Electricity Sales Have Soared in Virginia,
Driven by Data Centers, U.S. Energy Info. Admin. (May 5, 2026),
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67664.
22 PJM, 2026 PJM Load Forecast Report, 6 (Jan. 14, 2026), https://www.pjm.com/-
/media/DotCom/library/reports-notices/load-forecast/2026-load-report.pdf.
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24 months, new generation resources can spend 4 to 5 years in interconnection queues before
coming online.23 Transmission upgrades can take even longer, with average timelines for
transmission upgrades ranging from 7 to 10 years to plan, approve, and build.24 In short, it takes
far longer to build new power plants than data centers.
As a result of its supply and demand imbalance, PJM has fallen short of its reliability
requirement for the past two base residual auctions (BRAs). PJM’s 2028/2029 BRA cleared 6.8
GW short of PJM’s reliability requirement, while the 2027/2028 BRA cleared 6.5 GW short.25
PJM expects that, without the Reliability Backstop Procurement, the 2029/2030 BRA in
December would clear short as well.26 Falling below the reserve margin means that PJM has to
operate with slimmer reserves and endure more reliability risks.27 NERC has classified PJM as
an elevated risk area from 2026 to 2028 and a high risk area from 2029 onward.28 NERC predicts
that as data center load growth continues to increase in the coming years, the risk of reliability
shortfalls will increase as well.29
23 Rachel Mural et. al, Data Centers and Large-Scale Electric Growth: The Virginia and Texas
Experiences, Belfer Ctr. for Science and Int’l Aff. (Apr. 20, 2026),
https://www.belfercenter.org/research-analysis/data-centers-texas-virginia-comparison.
24 Id.
25 PJM Capacity Auction Procures 138,318 MW of Generation Resources as Work Continues to
Address Growing Electricity Demand, PJM Inside Lines (Jul. 14, 2026),
https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-capacity-auction-procures-138318-mw-of-generation-resources-
as-work-continues-to-address-growing-electricity-demand/.
26 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 27.
27 PJM Capacity Auction Procures 138,318 MW of Generation Resources as Work Continues to
Address Growing Electricity Demand, PJM Inside Lines (Jul. 14, 2026),
https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-capacity-auction-procures-138318-mw-of-generation-resources-
as-work-continues-to-address-growing-electricity-demand/
28 N. Am. Elec. Reliability Corp. (“NERC”), 2025 Long Term Reliability Assessment (Jan.
2026), https://www.nerc.com/globalassets/our-work/assessments/nerc_ltra_2025.pdf.
29 Id. at 17.
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B.
PJM’s capacity market faces high capacity prices, causing increases in
ratepayers’ bills.
Second, in addition to facing increased reliability risks, PJM’s market is also facing
unsustainably high prices. The past three BRAs cleared at the price cap, clearing at $325/MW-
day in the 2028/2029 BRA, $333.44/MW-day in the 2027/2028 BRA, and $329.17/MW-day in
the 2026/2027 BRA. For reference, PJM’s 2024/2025 BRA cleared at $28.92/MW-day and at
$269.92/MW-day in the 2025/2026 BRA.30 PJM’s independent market monitor (IMM) estimated
that data centers caused 63% of the increase in prices in the 2025/2026 BRA, resulting in an
increase of $9.3 billion in higher costs for PJM customers.31 As of January 2026, the IMM
estimated that the costs to other customers increased by $23 billion as a result of data center
demand in the 2025/2026, 2026/2027, and 2027/2028 BRAs.32
PJM’s increased capacity costs are raising ratepayers’ bills. In June 2025, Pepco
customers in Washington, D.C. saw their bills increase by $21 per month, and D.C.’s Office of
Consumers’ Counsel attributed about half of that increase to the spike in capacity market
prices.33 Similar trends are expected across PJM. In June 2026, PJM customers collectively
began paying an additional $1.4 billion in capacity market costs driven by data center demand.34
30 PJM, 2026/2027 Base Residual Auction Report, 5 (Jul. 22, 2025), https://www.pjm.com/-
/media/DotCom/markets-ops/rpm/rpm-auction-info/2026-2027/2026-2027-bra-report.ashx.
31 Cathy Kunkel, Projected Data Center Growth Spurs PJM Capacity Prices by Factor of 10,
Inst. for Energy Econ. and Fin. Analysis (Jul. 30, 2025), https://ieefa.org/resources/projected-
data-center-growth-spurs-pjm-capacity-prices-factor-10 (“Kunkel, Projected Data Center
Growth”).
32 Monitoring Analytics, Analysis of the 2027/2028 RPM Base Residual Auction Part A, 3 (Jan.
5, 2026),
https://www.monitoringanalytics.com/reports/Reports/2026/IMM_Analysis_of_the_20272028_R
PM_Base_Residual_Auction_Part_A_20260105.pdf.
33 Kunkel, Projected Data Center Growth.
34 Id.
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The increase in PJM’s capacity market prices has sparked concern from the White House,
the 13 PJM states, the PJM board, and from data center companies themselves. On January 15,
2026, the White House’s National Energy Dominance Council and the governors of the PJM
states signed a joint Statement of Principles Regarding PJM, urging PJM to hold a Reliability
Backstop Auction to procure new capacity resources for data centers and allocate the costs of
that new capacity to Load Serving Entities (“LSEs”) with new data centers that have not
procured their own capacity.35 Similarly, on January 16, the PJM board released a board
decisional letter that directed PJM staff to develop several proposals to address reliability and
affordability challenges caused by large load additions in PJM.36 Like the White House and PJM
Governors’ Statement of Principles, PJM’s board urged PJM staff to initiate a Reliability
Backstop Procurement and address cost allocation for LSEs that are short as a result of load
growth in their service areas.37
Lastly, the largest AI data center companies and developers in the country signed the
White House’s Ratepayer Protection Pledge—introduced on March 4, 2026, and expanded in
July—a voluntary commitment from data center owners to build, bring, or buy the new
generation resources needed to satisfy their new energy demands and pay the full cost of those
resources.38
35 Statement from the White House Nat’l Energy Dominance Council & PJM Governors of
Principles Regarding PJM, 1 (Jan. 15, 2026), https://www.energy.gov/documents/statement-
principles-regarding-pjm.
36 Letter from David E. Mills, Chair, PJM Board of Managers, to PJM Stakeholders on Critical
Issue Fast Path - Large Load Additions (Jan. 16, 2026), https://www.pjm.com/-
/media/DotCom/about-pjm/who-we-are/public-disclosures/2026/20260116-pjm-board-letter-re-
results-of-the-cifp-process-large-load-additions.pdf.
37 Id. at 6.
38 White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge.
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II.
PJM’s Reliability Backstop Proposal should be accepted with modifications to better
achieve the RBP’s objectives.
PIOs generally support PJM’s Reliability Backstop Procurement proposal but urge the
Commission to exercise its authority to modify the proposal to better accomplish PJM’s
objectives to: (1) procure the correct amount of capacity to meet the RBP target; (2) procure new
capacity; (3) procure that new capacity on time; and (4) ensure that large loads that require new
capacity bear the costs of building and connecting that capacity. Specifically, the Commission
should accept PJM’s proposal, but only on the conditions that PJM either require RBP supply to
be located near to large loads, which will help ensure that new supply can come online timely,
and that reliability risks or costs associated with delivering new RBP capacity to large loads are
not shifted to other ratepayers, or require RBP resources to cover 100% of network upgrades.
Additionally, the Commission should encourage states to mandate take-or-pay agreements
between LSEs and large loads to mitigate the risks of cost-shifting if a data center fails to
materialize as expected.
Discussion
I.
The Commission Should Only Modify PJM’s RBP Filing to Better Accomplish
PJM’s Objectives.
PJM has consented to Commission modification of “any element” of its proposal, so long
as the modification is “consistent with PJM’s overarching objectives in this filing.”39 That
consent is bounded by the decision in NRG Power Marketing v. FERC to not permit
modifications that would produce “an entirely different rate design.”40 PJM’s objectives set the
limits of what modifications the Commission can require. However, the RBP Filing does not
39 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 130–31.
40 NRG Power Mktg. LLC v. FERC, 862 F.3d 108, 115–16 (D.C. Cir. 2017).
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include any explicit statement of PJM’s objectives. To assist the Commission’s consideration of
modifications to PJM’s filing, PIO’s explain that the text and context of PJM’s filing reveal the
following four objectives.
First, procure the correct amount of capacity. PJM explains that “the primary purpose of
the RBP Target is to determine how much UCAP MW is needed to meet the reliability
requirement shortfall without over-procuring,”41 and the PJM Board directed the target equal the
2028/2029 shortfall, reduced for documented bilateral contracts and self-supply arrangements for
new capacity serving new load.42
Second, procure new capacity. The RBP “is designed to attract new supplies of capacity
(i.e., new ICAP), not merely incremental resource efficiencies.”43
Third, procure new capacity on time. While the contracts are for 15 years to incentivize
new generation,44 the need for new capacity is urgent, and therefore, the timely procurement of
capacity is an objective of PJM’s filing.45 PJM’s ranking of offers “from earliest to latest offered
Delivery Year” even before considering cost shows PJM’s commitment to solving the immediate
capacity need.46
Fourth, ensure that the large loads that require the new capacity bear its costs. The RBP
Filing invokes the Ratepayer Protection Pledge’s commitment that large loads will pay the “full
41 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 52.
42 Id. at 22 n.69 (quoting PJM Board July 2026 Decisional Letter at 2).
43 Id. at 51.
44 Id. at 42.
45 Id. at 51 (requiring new capacity to be online no later than June 1, 2032).
46 Id. at 75.
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cost” of the new resources their demand requires and promises an allocation under which those
costs are not socialized to residential and other existing customers.47
PIOs respectfully recommend that the Commission adopt this articulation of the RBP’s
objectives and use those objectives when requiring modifications to the RBP.
A.
Objective One: Procure the Correct Amount of Capacity
The RBP’s quantity of procured megawatts is set by administrative decision, not by
market clearing. In the RPM auctions, the amount of capacity procured emerges from an
administratively established demand curve interacting with competitive offers. Because the RPM
is annual, the amount of capacity procured is revised annually and therefore responds to changes
in the market. The RBP has no comparable self-correction. PJM sets the target, reduces it for
verified Qualifying RBP Offsets and opt-outs, and procures the final number under fifteen-year
commitments.48 Any over- or under-procurement is therefore locked in for fifteen years. Under-
procurement of new capacity leaves a reliability gap the RBP is designed to fix, which leaves
customers exposed to increase loss-of-load risk. Over-procurement would mean that the
participating zones and LSEs are stuck with fifteen years of charges for capacity they don’t need.
PJM describes “the primary purpose of the RBP Target” as determining “how much UCAP MW
is needed to meet the reliability requirement shortfall without over-procuring,” and it built the
matching rules to “avoid[] over-procurement, under-procurement, and double-counting.”49
In evaluating the RBP and any modifications proposed in this protest and by other parties, the
Commission should ensure that the RBP procure the right amount of needed capacity. A
47 Id. at 16–18.
48 Id. at 31–34.
49 Id. at 52, 37.
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modification that improves the correspondence between the quantity procured and the shortfall
that actually exists advances this objective and falls squarely within PJM’s consent.
B.
Objective Two: Procure New Capacity
The second objective recognizes that the shortfall was due to a lack of steel in the ground
supply rather than a mispricing of existing megawatts of supply. The need for genuinely new
supply is recognized by the PJM Board, the Governors’ Principles, and the Ratepayer Protection
Pledge. The RBP, therefore, “is designed to attract new supplies of capacity (i.e., new ICAP), not
merely incremental resource efficiencies, to address the current capacity shortfall and a provide
stable, long-term source of capacity.”50 If, for example, the RBP merely allowed existing
resources to move from the RPM to the RBP, the entire process would be an exercise in wealth
transfers with no reliability benefits. Genuinely additive procurement, by contrast, protects
existing customers from paying for reliability problems they did not cause while also providing
new load with long-term sources of generation.
The Commission should therefore make additionality a core touchstone as it evaluates the
RBP Proposal and any proposed modification. The Commission should ask: does the resource
add installed capacity that the system did not have before? A modification that admits
demonstrably additive resources enlarges the pool of new supply and advances the objective
while increasing competition, improving speed to power, and lowering costs. A modification that
would relax the screen against reshuffled or paper capacity is contrary to the objective and
therefore should be dismissed by the Commission.
50 Id. at 51.
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C.
Objective Three: Procure New Capacity on Time
The third objective recognizes that the need for new capacity is based on an existing
shortfall, not a mere trend or forecast. The 2027/2028 and 2028/2029 auctions have already
cleared short, and capacity is valuable for reliability only when it is installed. Supply arriving in
2035 does nothing for loss-of-load risk in 2029. The RBP Proposal recognizes this urgency in its
selection criteria. The RBP only allows projects that can demonstrate a feasible commercial
operation date of June 1, 2032, or earlier.51 Once it collects all eligible projects, PJM then selects
offers “in rank order from earliest to latest offered Delivery Year,” and only then by levelized
cost. This means that PJM is willing to pay a higher price for capacity that arrives sooner.52
Timeliness of projects is also important because PJM proposes to reset the trigger for the
Tariff’s pre-existing Reliability Backstop Auction so that no such auction can occur unless BRAs
clear short for three consecutive Delivery Years beginning with 2032/2033. PJM justifies this by
assuming that “all RBP Resources should have reached their respective commercial operational
dates” by that delivery year.53 The Commission should, therefore, recognize that significant
reliability risks hang on the ability of the RBP to actually procure new supply in the next few
years.
The Commission should therefore treat speed to power as a key objective when
evaluating the RBP Proposal and any proposed modifications. Where the Commission finds that
the RBP will not actually bring new supply online quickly, it should require changes. Where a
modification would improve speed to power, the Commission should consider adopting such
51 Id. at 72.
52 Id. at 75.
53 Id. at 123–25.
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modification and vice versa. Similarly, the Commission should reject proposals that exclude
resources that can be rapidly deployed or that tolerate slippages in commercial operation date.
D.
Objective Four: Ensure That the Large Loads That Require New Capacity
Bear Its Costs.
PJM and its stakeholders recognize that new large loads, especially data centers, are
uniquely responsible for the failure of recent auctions to clear at desired reserve margins. This
failure to meet reliability standards puts everyone in the PJM footprint in danger of increased
loss-of-load events. The RBP is designed to shore up that shortfall through new supply. Because
these new costs are so clearly and uniquely caused by the massive expansion of data centers and
similar new large loads, cost causation principles require that the RBP allocate costs to those new
large loads. This is not a controversial position. The nation’s largest data center developers
pledged to pay the “full cost” of the new resources their demand requires.54 The thirteen PJM
governors pledged to direct these costs to “new data center loads that have not otherwise
procured capacity or agreed to be curtailable.”55 PJM promises that RBP costs “will not become
stranded costs, which would ultimately be socialized.”56 It is therefore crucial that the RBP fulfill
its objective of ensuring that new large loads actually pay for the new supply they need.
The Commission should apply this objective when evaluating the RBP and any proposed
modifications. Commission and PJM jurisdiction over ratemaking, however, extends only so far.
States set retail rates, which are actually charged to individual ratepayers—be they residential
customers or data centers—for capacity charges assigned to LSEs by PJM. It is therefore
54 Id. at 17 (quoting White House Ratepayer Pledge).
55 Id. at 12 (quoting Statement from the White House Nat’l Energy Dominance Council & PJM
Governors of Principles Regarding PJM, 2 (Jan. 15, 2026),
https://www.energy.gov/documents/statement-principles-regarding-pjm).
56 Id. at 109.
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imperative that states and LSEs have the information necessary to assign costs to the new large
loads that are responsible for the need for this new supply procured through the RBP. The
Commission should reject any component of the RBP that fails to sufficiently meet this cost
allocation objective and should adopt the modifications that best realize this objective.
Taken together, the four objectives listed above state what PJM designed the RBP to do:
procure the correct amount of new capacity, on time, at the cost of the large loads that require it.
The Commission should evaluate any proposed modifications to PJM’s RBP filing against these
objectives and should adopt PIOs’ narrow modification described below, which will help ensure
that the RBP meets PJM’s objectives.
II.
The Commission should modify the RBP by requiring RBP supply to be located new
large loads in order to minimize delays and the risk of cost-shifting.
To ensure that PJM accomplishes its objectives to procure the (1) correct amount of (2)
new capacity (3) on time to meet the 2028/2029 shortfall and (4) allocate the costs of that
capacity to new data center load, PJM must include a locational deliverability requirement for
RBP Sell Offers. Prioritizing RBP resources that are closer to zones with large load growth will
ensure that RBP resources are not bogged down with large network upgrades that can cause
delays or high costs that could be passed onto other customers through the interconnection queue
or RTEP. Failing to include a locational requirement in the RBP imperils the RBP’s ability to
achieve its objectives in several ways. First, the absence of a locational requirement increases the
likelihood that high network upgrade costs may prevent RBP resources from showing up at all,
failing the objectives to procure (1) the correct amount of (2) new capacity. Similarly, because
the absence of a locational requirement makes it more likely that RBP resources may require
significant network upgrades, it also increases the risk of network upgrade delays, failing the
objective to bring resources online quickly to meet the 2028/2029 shortfall. Furthermore, the
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high costs of network upgrades could also be spread to other interconnection customers or to
residential customers through the RTEP process, failing the objective to allocate RBP costs to
data centers. The Commission should modify PJM’s proposed tariff to correct this problem by
including a requirement that RBP resources be located in the same zone as the large loads they
serve. This locational deliverability requirement would address each of the problems described
above and help better accomplish each of the RBP’s objectives.
Additionally, the Commission could modify PJM’s RBP filing by requiring RBP
resources to pay 100% of network upgrade identified through the interconnection process. This
modification would prevent initial network upgrade costs from being shifted to other
interconnection customers or flowing through to ratepayers. However, this modification would
not prevent cost-shifting that could occur if future RTEP processes identify the need for upgrades
to maintain deliverability. Similarly, this modification would not prevent large, costly, slow
network upgrades from delaying or deterring the successful completion of RBP supply projects.
For these reasons, a modification to require RBP supply to pay 100% of the network upgrade
costs identified in the interconnection process is only a partial solution that will not accomplish
all of the RBP’s objectives. Accordingly, PIOs respectfully suggest that the Commission view
this modification as additional to a requirement that RBP supply be located near large loads, not
as a completely sufficient alternative modification.
Currently, PJM’s RBP proposal plans to procure capacity RTO-wide, with its
procurement target based on the region-wide shortfall.57 PJM does not intend to match specific
supply to specific demand or consider locational constraints in the RBP.58 PJM’s proposal
57 Id. at 33.
58 Id.
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acknowledges that there are locational considerations for resource adequacy but states that it
does not need to consider locational constraints in the RBP because PJM does not have the
information necessary to determine the locational parameters for the RBP’s 15-year commitment
term.59 PJM worries that including locational considerations in the RBP would result in over- or
under-procurement.60 PJM asserts that its interconnection process and its RTEP process will
ensure the deliverability of RBP resources.
Though PJM’s concern about the risk of over- and under-procurement with respect to
locational deliverability appears reasonable, PJM fails to properly consider the reliability and
affordability risks associated with having resources located farther away from the load they
intend to serve. PJM’s failure to consider locational deliverability in supply bids in the RBP will
risk: (1) deliverability issues due to transmission constraints if RBP resources are located far
away from the zones with large loads; (2) higher costs from the new transmission infrastructure
needed to get new capacity to new large load in different zones, which will be socialized to other
interconnection customers or ratepayers; and (3) substantial delays to the deliverability of RBP
supply due to the slow pace of network upgrade construction. These outcomes are not consistent
with PJM’s objectives to procure 6.8 GW of new capacity by 2032 (at the latest) and to allocate
the costs of that capacity to data centers procuring capacity through the RBP. To better align the
RBP with PJM’s objectives, the Commission should modify PJM’s proposal to prioritize RBP
resources that are in the same zones as large loads, or at least to include requirements that new
RBP supply will be responsible for 100% of the costs of network upgrade needed to ensure their
deliverability.
59 Id. at 34.
60 Id.
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A.
PJM’s proposal to exclude a locational requirement for RBP generation bids
could lead to reliability risks.
PJM’s decision to exclude a locational requirement in the RBP will increase risks of non-
delivery or delayed delivery if generation resources procured through the RBP are outside of
zones with growing large load demand. As proposed, the RBP relies on the assumption that PJM
will be able to build network upgrades quickly enough to get RBP resources online in the next
three to six years.61 This assumption is overly ambitious at best and unrealistic at worst. Recent
analysis shows that most new power plants faced network upgrade timelines of at least three
years after those projects had already cleared the queue.62 As of April 2026, about half of the
projects in TC2 were delayed by baseline upgrades, with average construction timelines of about
5 years.63 Projects just entering the queue or without a signed interconnection agreement will
take much longer. Resources that require larger network upgrades, like resources that are farther
away from load, will likely take longer to interconnect due to network upgrade construction
delays.
The risks associated with large network upgrades are not speculative. Recently, the high
network upgrade costs and long construction timelines affected several projects in PJM’s
Reliability Resource Initiative (“RRI”)—an interconnection fast-track that aimed to procure
purportedly “shovel-ready” projects that could come online quickly to meet PJM’s near-term
capacity needs. However, the RRI procured large projects that resulted in the need for large,
61 PJM aims to get resources online by the 2028/2029 delivery year at the earliest and by the
2032/2033 delivery year at the latest. RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 38–40.
62 Yamit Lavi et. al, Unlocking the Grid, NRDC (Apr. 7, 2026),
https://www.nrdc.org/resources/unlocking-grid.
63 Devin Leith-Yessian, PJM Receives 811 Interconnection Requests in Queue Cycle 1, RTO
Insider (Apr. 29, 2026), https://www.rtoinsider.com/131291-pjm-receives-811-interconnection-
requests-queue-cycle-1/.
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lengthy network upgrades, causing a significant proportion of RRI projects to withdraw after
being assigned network upgrade costs. 10 out of 51 RRI projects withdrew from the
interconnection process, with two projects dropping out before being studied, and eight projects
dropping at the first decision point in TC2.64 2 of the 3 largest RRI projects withdrew in
November 2024, shortly after PJM determined their network upgrade costs.65 The two projects
represented a quarter of the RRI’s total capacity.66 The RRI’s 28% drop-out rate67should have
been a lesson for PJM: procuring resources that need large, time-consuming network upgrades
increase the likelihood that those resources will not be able to deliver the capacity that resources
need by PJM’s desired commercial operation date. To avoid making the same mistake as it did in
the RRI, PJM should focus on procuring resources that will require smaller, less costly network
upgrades.
If PJM’s objectives are to (1) procure enough (2) new capacity (3) to meet the 2028/2029
shortfall by 2032 at the latest, then PJM should prioritize resources that can be built the fastest.
Resources that are farther away from zones with RBP allocations will most likely require large
64 Claire Lang-Ree & Tom Rutigliano, Unlocking Storage is the Solution to Data Center Strain,
NRDC (Jan. 29, 2026), https://www.nrdc.org/bio/claire-lang-ree/unlocking-storage-solution-
data-center-strain.
65 PJM maintains an interconnection queue tracker. See PJM, Cycle Service Request
Status, https://www.pjm.com/planning/m/cycle-service-request-status (last accessed August 20,
2026). RRI withdrawals were identified by cross-referencing the withdrawals in the tracker by
Project ID number. See also PJM, RRI Additional Summaries, slides 6–8 (May 6,
2025), https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/committees-
groups/committees/pc/2025/20250506/20250506-rri-addendum---post-meeting.pdf. The
withdrawn RRI projects are AH1-676, AH1-690, AH1-697, AH1-705, AH1-707, AH1-717, AH1-
720, AH1-726, and AH1-729, and AH1-735 totaling over 3.76 gigawatts of capacity.
66 Id. The two largest withdrawals are AH1-690 and AH1-676.
67 Claire Lang-Ree & Tom Rutigliano, Unlocking Storage is the Solution to Data Center Strain,
NRDC (Jan. 29, 2026), https://www.nrdc.org/bio/claire-lang-ree/unlocking-storage-solution-
data-center-strain.
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network upgrades that will take longer to build. To ensure that the RBP selects the fastest, most
efficient resources to meet PJM’s objectives, the Commission should modify PJM’s proposal to
require that PJM consider locational deliverability in RBP sell offers. The Commission can
either: (1) require RBP resources to be located within zones with RBP allocations or (2) add
locational proximity into the RBP’s scoring criteria, so that projects sited near load growth areas
are scored higher.
Commission precedent supports the inclusion of a locational deliverability requirement in
the RBP. The Commission previously found that PJM must include locational requirements in its
capacity market structure to ensure that supply is deliverable to the LSEs it is serving. The lack
of a locational element in PJM’s capacity market was one of the primary reasons that the
Commission found PJM’s capacity market unjust and unreasonable before establishing the
RPM.68 The Commission found that “the lack of a locational element [in the RPM] is a
contributing factor to reliability problems within PJM”69 and that the lack of a locational element
created a market structure that did not ensure that supply was available to all areas.70 In that
proceeding, PJM itself acknowledged that its capacity market structure was flawed because it
allowed LSEs to contract with resources located anywhere within PJM regardless of whether
transmission constraints would prevent delivery.71 Yet, in its RBP proposal, PJM will procure
capacity from anywhere within PJM without regard to whether it can be delivered in a timely and
reliable manner to the zones with RBP allocations. The Commission’s and PJM’s reasoning in
68 Order Denying Rehearing and Approving Settlement Subject to Conditions, 117 FERC ¶
61,331 at P 20 (2006).
69 Initial Order on Reliability Pricing Model, 115 FERC ¶ 61,079 at P 49 (2006).
70 Order Denying Rehearing and Approving Settlement Subject to Conditions, 117 FERC ¶
61,331 at P 2 (2006).
71 Id. at P 14.
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the 2006 order makes clear that PJM’s current RBP will not accomplish PJM’s objectives to
procure enough capacity to meet the RBP target on time because the RBP does not ensure that
RBP supply can actually be delivered to RBP buyers by the time it is needed. Even if the
interconnection process and RTEP can ensure eventual deliverability after the RBP closes, those
processes cannot ensure that RBP supply will come online on time without lengthy network
upgrade delays.
PJM’s proposal does not explain why the lack of a locational element in its proposal will
not lead to deliverability concerns. PJM argues that it will not calculate locational parameters 15
years out because PJM does not have the information needed to determine those parameters 15
years ahead. PJM states that if it were to include locational parameters in the RBP based off of
today’s conditions, then the results would be inevitably skewed based on “nothing more than
speculation as to the state of the system ten and fifteen years from now,” leading to over-
procurement or under-procurement.72 PJM adds that the inclusion of a locational parameter
“would ignore the fact that ‘PJM’s interconnection process ensures the initial deliverability of
new capacity to the RTO.’”73 PJM also notes that the RTEP process “studies and addresses any
transmission upgrades needed to ensure ongoing deliverability of capacity resources.”74 Each of
these rationales for excluding a locational deliverability requirement is flawed.
To PJM’s first point, that it does not have the information needed to project locational
parameters 15-years ahead, PJM does have some locational information that it can use to project
load demand in certain areas, similar to the three-year forward forecast it uses in the RPM or
72 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 34.
73 Id. at 34.
74 Id. at 34.
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long-term load forecasts for resource adequacy planning.75 PJM can choose its comfort level
with projecting locational parameters, whether it wants to use projections for three years, five
years, ten years, or fifteen years, but any locational considerations will be better than none. For
example, the Capacity Emergency Transfer Objective and Capacity Emergency Transfer Limit
(“CETO/CETL”) figures that PJM used for the 2028/2029 auction could be a helpful parameter.
While those CETO/CETL limits might not necessarily persist for the full 15-year term of the
RBP contracts, they are a reasonable input for a locational deliverability requirement, especially
because they correspond to the same auction that led to the shortfall the RBP attempts to resolve.
PJM knows the load growth hotspots right now, like Northern Virginia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania,
and can reasonably expect that load will continue to grow in those areas, considering that there
are no indications that load growth is slowing down.76 PJM should prioritize generation closer to
those areas that matches the load growth in those areas, where PJM knows load is growing the
fastest.
PJM’s second point, that the results of the RBP will be inevitably skewed based on
“nothing more than speculation as to the state of the system ten and fifteen years from now,” is
inconsistent with the rest of PJM’s proposal. The RBP target is the reliability shortfall from the
2028/2029 BRA, which is based on load forecasts from EDCs. The RBP will procure 15-year
contracts to meet that forecasted load. The RBP itself is speculating that that projected load will
show up and that 15 years of capacity needs to be procured for that load. The RBP is betting on
75 See PJM, 2026 PJM Load Forecast Report (Jan. 14, 2026), https://www.pjm.com/-
/media/DotCom/library/reports-notices/load-forecast/2026-load-report.pdf.
76 Zachary Skidmore, Dominion Sees No Slow Down in Northern Virginia Data Center Demand,
Proposes New Electricity Rates for Large Load, Data Ctr. Dynamics (May 2, 2025),
https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/dominion-reports-high-data-center-demand-in-
northern-virginia-proposes-new-electricty-rates-for-large-load-customers/.
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the state of the system fifteen years out from the 2028/2029 delivery year using load growth
estimates for 2029. It is unclear why PJM would find that speculation acceptable enough to
assign 15-year obligations to LSEs but not enough to develop locational parameters based on
those same projections. PJM already knows where the load growth concerns are today and is
procuring capacity for that load. Consequently, PJM should at least optimize planning to ensure
that the capacity can meet the load its planning for.
To PJM’s third point, the idea that the interconnection process and RTEP will catch all
deliverability concerns, ignores the fact that one of PJM’s objectives is to get capacity online
quickly, and ignores the goal of making sure large loads pay their fair share of costs, because
RTEP is socialized to all load, as detailed in the next section. The interconnection process and
RTEP can ensure that supply will eventually be deliverable but cannot ensure that supply will be
deliverable to load on time. The risks of network upgrade delays are known, especially for large
projects. Resources located outside of zones with RBP allocations will require larger network
upgrades to ensure deliverability than resources that are located within the zones. This may
require lengthier interconnection studies and will likely require longer network upgrade
development time. With the average network upgrade timeline taking at least 3 years77 after a
resource makes it through the queue, which now takes 1 to 2 years,78 the RBP is increasing the
likelihood that resources will be delayed in coming online on time to meet the RBP’s objectives.
In short, a locational deliverability requirement will help PJM achieve the RBP’s objective of
promptly bringing online much-needed new supply.
77 Yamit Lavi et. al, Unlocking the Grid, NRDC (Apr. 7, 2026),
https://www.nrdc.org/resources/unlocking-grid.
78 PJM, Fact Sheet: New, Faster Generation Interconnection Process (May 21, 2026),
https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/about-pjm/newsroom/fact-sheets/interconnection-reform-
progress-fact-sheet.pdf.
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It’s important to note that, as PJM mentions in its proposal, if load patterns do change,
PJM can use RTEP’s annual studies to identify any transmission upgrades needed to ensure
ongoing deliverability of RBP resources. However, even in this scenario, a locational reliability
requirement will likely minimize the network upgrades needed. The zones experiencing
significant large load growth are more likely to continue to do so than other zones. Locating RBP
supply near to those zones will be more likely to ensure smaller network upgrades and faster
deliverability timelines in the immediate term and will minimize the need for future network
upgrades in comparison to PJM’s proposal to permit RBP supply to be developed anywhere in
the region.
The Commission could modify PJM’s proposal to address locational deliverability in a
few ways. PJM could require RBP resources to be located within a certain zone or require that
RBP resources be located within a reasonable electrical radius to large loads to minimize the risk
of lengthy network upgrades. In the alternative, PJM could add a locational component to its
selection criteria, where proximity to the top 5 load growth zones can be weighed alongside
commercial operation date, but before considering price. This would ensure that projects outside
of a particular zone can participate, but those closer to the zone would be prioritized. By
choosing resources based off of commercial operation date and location first, PJM could ensure
that the RBP procures the resources that can come online the fastest. PJM is concerned that
modifications to the filing could jeopardize the commencement of the RBP in September and
encourages the Commission to ensure that proposed modifications allow for quick and efficient
implementation.79 The modifications suggested above will not jeopardize PJM’s timeline. The
modifications recommended in this section do not require that PJM get their locational
79 Id.
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parameters perfect; they only require that PJM do its best with the information it already has. The
various modifications proposed in this section are flexible and allow the Commission and PJM to
consider which modifications can be done within PJM’s desired timeline. The modifications
suggested will both ensure that PJM can begin the RBP in September and that resources can be
delivered on time without unnecessary upgrade delays.
B.
PJM’s proposal will unjustly and unreasonably shift costs to other
interconnection customers or ratepayers.
Looking beyond the deliverability risks associated with omitting a locational requirement
in the RBP, PJM’s proposal also fails to consider the cost-shifting risks that the proposal will
create. PJM argues that inclusion of a locational parameter in the RBP would “ignore the fact
that ‘PJM’s interconnection process ensures the initial deliverability of new capacity to the
RTO,’”80 but PJM fails to consider that its reliance on the interconnection process to guarantee
initial deliverability ignores the risks of shifting costs to other interconnection customers or
ratepayers. Although PJM’s interconnection process can ensure that RBP resources will initially
be deliverable to LSEs with RBP allocations (once network upgrades are complete), the RBP’s
lack of a location requirement increases the likelihood that network upgrade costs and
interconnection study costs will be higher if supply resources are located farther away from the
zones they will serve. Other resources in interconnection clusters may share the initial costs of
connecting RBP resources. Those costs will then be passed onto other ratepayers in higher
energy costs. This kind of cost-shifting is inconsistent with PJM’s objective to allocate all costs
of procuring capacity for new large loads to those large loads. Additionally, this cost-shifting is
80 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 34.
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inconsistent with the Ratepayer Protection Pledge and the Commission’s June 18 Large Load
Order.81
1.
The RBP will likely shift costs of network upgrades to other
interconnection customers and to all PJM load.
The RBP raises cost-shifting concerns for network upgrades in the interconnection
process. Order No. 2023 requires transmission providers to initially allocate network upgrade
costs among interconnection customers, based on a proportional impact method.82 The Order
also requires costs of network upgrades at substations to be allocated equally among each
generation facility interconnection to the same substation.83 The lack of a locational element in
the RBP raises the likelihood that RBP resources could be located farther away from LSEs with
RBP allocations, increasing the risk of needing larger network upgrades to ensure that the RBP
resources will be deliverable. These network upgrades are inefficient and unnecessary, as a
locational requirement in the RBP would mitigate the need for these upgrades and likely yield
deliverable capacity more quickly and cheaply. Interconnection customers in the same cluster as
one of these RBP resources will need to share in those network upgrade costs if the customers
interconnect to the same substation or in any way benefit from or contribute to the need for the
upgrade. In this scenario, higher network upgrade costs from a network upgrade that ensures load
deliverability from an RBP resource to a zone with an RBP allocation means higher shared costs
for every resource in that cluster.
81 See White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge; see also Order Instituting Proceeding Under
Section 206 of the Federal Power Act, 195 FERC ¶ 61,211 (Jun. 18, 2026) (“Large Load
Order”).
82 Improvements to Generator Interconnection Procedures and Agreements, 184 FERC ¶ 61,054
at P 453 (2023) (“Order No. 2023”).
83 Id. at P 454.
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Generators will pass these higher costs onto ratepayers. PJM acknowledges this
possibility for customers of RBP resources, stating in its proposal that “[s]ellers will have the
opportunity to reflect on the anticipated cost of any network upgrades, estimated or final,
associated with the RBP Resource’s provision of capacity in the RBP Sell Offer.”84 Non-RBP
resources in the same cluster will similarly have to consider how to price their generation to
recover costs of high shared network upgrades. Thus, inefficient planning in the RBP will result
in unnecessarily high network upgrades and subsequently result in higher prices from generators
and higher costs for ratepayers.
2.
The RBP will likely shift the costs to study RBP resources to other
interconnection customers.
Additionally, the RBP raises cost-shifting concerns for interconnection study costs caused
by RBP resources. Under Order No. 2023, costs of cluster studies are shared between
interconnection customers on a per capita and pro rata MW basis.85 Order No. 2023’s study cost
allocation requirements acknowledge that cluster study costs are affected by the number of
interconnection requests and the size of the proposed generators in each cluster.86 Order No.
2023 recognizes that the megawatt size of projects in an interconnection cluster contributes
significantly to the total cost of a cluster study.87 The Order also recognizes that complex studies
can lead to correspondingly higher study costs.88 Without a locational component in the RBP,
RBP resources may need more complex studies to ensure load deliverability if they are located
84 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 56.
85 Order No. 2023, supra note 81 at P 416.
86 Id. at P 418.
87 Order No. 2023, supra note 81 at P 418.
88 Id. at P 418.
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farther away from LSEs with RBP allocations. The costs of these complex studies could increase
costs for other customers in the cluster. PJM could decrease the risk of this cost-shifting by
considering locational deliverability in the RBP prior to the interconnection process. Instead,
PJM chooses to unnecessarily burden other interconnection customers with an increased risk of
complex cluster studies and higher study costs.
3.
PJM’s proposal will unjustly and unreasonably shift costs to all PJM
customers through RTEP.
PJM’s proposal also risks shifting significant transmission costs to all PJM customers
through the RTEP process. PJM’s RBP filing reasons that a locational element in the RBP is
unnecessary because PJM’s RTEP will study and address any transmission upgrades needed to
ensure the deliverability of capacity resources to load.89 Unlike in the standard interconnection
process, where generation pays for costs of upgrades, reliability-driven upgrades identified
through RTEP are paid for by load. As a result, the costs of any reliability-driven upgrades that
are caused by any transmission constraints associated with RBP resources and identified through
RTEP will be unjustly and unreasonably socialized to all load in PJM, which fails to achieve
PJM’s objective to allocate RBP costs to LSEs with large loads and is inconsistent with the
Ratepayer Protection Pledge.
In 2024, utilities in 7 PJM states passed $4.3 billion in data center-driven transmission
costs onto customers in their service area.90 In early 2026, PJM’s board approved $11.8 billion in
89 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 34.
90 Mike Jacobs, Union of Concerned Scientists, Connection Costs: Loophole Costs Customers
Over $4 Billion to Connect Data Centers to Power Grid, Union of Concerned Scientists, 3 (Sep.
2025), https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2025-
09/PJM%20Data%20Center%20Issue%20Brief%20-%20Sep%202025.pdf.
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transmission projects identified as a part of PJM’s RTEP window 1.91 PJM’s baseline project
spending almost doubled from its spending in 2024 and 2023, with baseline projects costing $5.9
billion in the 2024 RTEP and $6.6 billion in 2023.92 The increase in upgrades are driven, in large
part, by increases in data center load in Virginia and throughout the PJM region overall.93 For
instance, $4.8 billion of the 2025 RTEP upgrades will go to the Dominion area alone.94
As baseline project spending increases, PJM needs to be more efficient in its transmission
planning. There is growing frustration surrounding RTEP spending on data center-driven projects
and how those costs are being allocated to PJM customers.95 Ignoring deliverability constraints
in the RBP will increase the likelihood that inefficient, costly upgrades will be identified in
PJM’s RTEP and will be unjustly and unreasonably allocated to load.
4.
The RBP risks cost shifts that are inconsistent with the Ratepayer
Protection Pledge and the Commission’s Large Load Orders.
a.
Cost-shifts in the RBP violate the Ratepayer Protection Pledge
and the Commission’s June 18th Large Load Orders.
The lack of a locational element in the RBP will likely cause cost-shifts that violate the
Ratepayer Protection Pledge and the Commission’s June 18th Large Load Orders. The
91 Ethan Howland, PJM Board Approves $11.8B Transmission Expansion Plan, Util. Dive (Feb.
17, 2026), https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-rtep-transmission-expansion-plan-dominion-
nextera-exelon/812311/.
92 Id.
93 PJM Reviews Preliminary Recommended Projects for 2025 RTEP Window 1, PJM Inside
Lines (Dec. 10, 2025), https://insidelines.pjm.com/pjm-reviews-preliminary-recommended-
projects-for-2025-rtep-window-1/.
94 Ethan Howland, PJM Board Approves $11.8B Transmission Expansion Plan, Util. Dive (Feb.
17, 2026), https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-rtep-transmission-expansion-plan-dominion-
nextera-exelon/812311/.
95 Complaint Requesting Fast Track Processing of the Maryland Office of People’s Counsel, at
17–19, Docket No. EL26-63 (May 7, 2026), Accession No. 20260507-5026.
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Commission should modify PJM’s proposal to ensure that other PJM customers do not pay for
costly upgrades for RBP resources. The Commission can easily fix this issue by either: (1)
requiring RBP supply to be in the same LDA as large loads; or (2) requiring RBP supply to be
100% responsible for network upgrade costs, which will be reasonably allocated to LSEs with
RBP allocations through RBP supply offers.
First, the Commission should modify PJM’s proposal because it violates the Ratepayer
Protection Pledge. The Ratepayer Protection Pledge was signed by 7 of the largest U.S
hyperscalers, more than 250 utilities and cooperatives, and 38 data center developers. In this
pledge, companies that signed on promised to cover all new delivery upgrades required to
service network upgrade costs to ensure that those costs are not shifted to ordinary households.96
In the RBP context, this pledge would cover the network upgrade costs identified in the
interconnection process and through RTEP. The signees also promised to procure the generation
resources needed for their energy demand and pay the full cost of procuring that energy.97 This
promise should include covering both the costs of building network upgrades and the study costs
of connecting needed supply.
The RBP does not currently allow data centers to fulfill their promise to its full extent.
Without a locational requirement for RBP resources, RBP resources may be located far from the
load they are meant to serve—increasing the likelihood for expensive network upgrades needed
to get the capacity to the loads it intends to serve. Data center companies that have promised to
pay for all of the network upgrades needed to serve their load cannot do so if the costs of their
network upgrades are shared by other new generators through the interconnection process or
96 White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge.
97 Id.
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allocated to all load through the RTEP. The Data Center Coalition acknowledged some of this
tension in its RBP proposal, stating that an RBP with no locational commitment constraint could
increase RTEP costs over time as PJM identifies transmission reliability constraints.98 As the
DCC recognizes, data centers cannot fulfill their promise to pay for all network upgrades if the
costs of network upgrades are shifted to other customers through PJM’s current planning
processes. To prevent this adverse outcome, the Commission should modify PJM’s proposal to
either require the RBP to procure resources in the same LDA as, or near to, large loads, in order
to ensure that transmission constraints are mitigated.
Similarly, the current RBP structure will increase study costs from the need for larger
upgrades and complex modeling to determine deliverability, which, under current rules, will be
spread between generators in the same cluster as RBP resources. Though RBP resources serving
data centers will be allocated some of those costs, the higher cost of connecting these resources
will be spread to generators other than RBP resources, and data centers will not pay for those
costs. This structure does not allow for data centers to cover the full costs of their generation as
they promised to in the Ratepayer Protection Pledge. To allow data centers to carry out this
promise, PJM’s RBP must include a locational element to mitigate the study costs assigned to
other generators, or PJM must assign the increased study costs caused by RBP resources to those
resources.
98 PJM, Joint EDCs and Data Center Coalition Reliability Backstop Procurement Package
Executive Summary, 5 (June 30, 2026), https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/committees-
groups/cifp-rbp/2026/20260630/20260630-item-02f---joint-edcs-and-data-center-coalition---rbp-
--executive-summary.pdf.
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b.
Cost-Shifts in the RBP violate the Commission’s June 18 Large
Load Order.
Second, the RBP is unjust and unreasonable because the proposal is inconsistent with the
Commission’s Large Load Order. As described in the Commission’s June 18 Large Load Order,
the Commission has a duty to address the risk of cost shifting among transmission customers that
may result in unjust and unreasonable rates.99 PJM’s current RBP proposal will likely result in
unjust and unreasonable rates by shifting RBP costs to other transmission customers through
PJM’s interconnection process and through RTEP.
The Commission’s June 18 Large Load Order preliminarily found PJM’s tariff to be
unjust and unreasonable because it lacks adequate mechanisms to mitigate the risk of cost
shifting among transmission customers.100 The Commission is concerned that PJM’s tariff does
not ensure that large load customers would be ultimately response for costs incurred to provide
transmission service, including the cost of network upgrades.101 Additionally, the Commission is
concerned about inefficient and unnecessary infrastructure development that leads to unjust and
unreasonable rates through unnecessarily high network upgrade costs.102
The RBP proposal confirms all the Order’s worries about PJM’s inadequate cost-shifting
protections. To the Commission’s first concern, the RBP relies on the interconnection process
and RTEP to ensure deliverability but includes no adequate mechanism to mitigate the cost-shifts
associated with those processes. Stakeholders alerted PJM to these cost-shifting concerns in the
proposal in stakeholder discussions, but PJM’s proposal does not address these issues. To the
99 Large Load Order, supra note 80, at P 68.
100 Id. at P 66.
101 Id.
102 Id.
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second concern, the current RBP structure will not ensure that large load customers will be
ultimately responsible for costs incurred to provide their transmission service. The RBP will
likely spread higher costs to generators due to complex load deliverability studies and higher
network upgrade costs for the cluster. Load will likely experience higher costs through RTEP as
the RTEP will likely identify costly transmission upgrades to deliver capacity from RBP
resources. In either case, end ratepayers are ultimately responsible for costs incurred to provide
transmission service to data centers, not the data centers themselves.
Lastly, the lack of a locational requirement in the RBP will likely lead to inefficient and
unnecessary infrastructure buildout. If the RBP procures RBP resources that are farther away
from the LDA it will serve, PJM may need to build transmission infrastructure to get the capacity
from the RBP resource to the LDA. This result is inefficient and unnecessary when there may be
resources closer to the LDA that could serve the load. This procurement structure could lead to
unnecessary build-out and unnecessary network upgrade costs, which as the Commission points
out in its June 18 Order, would be unjust and unreasonable.
III.
The Commission should encourage PJM states to do their part in allocating costs to
data centers.
It is important to note, as PJM does in its filing, that states have a large part to play in
ensuring that cost allocation at the retail level adequately allocates RBP costs to data centers
receiving capacity from RBP resources. The Commission has acknowledged states’ role in cost
allocation as well, stating in its June 18 Large Load Order that “states determine how
Commission-approved rates are collected among the relevant retail consumers along with the
rates for state-jurisdictional matters.”103 The PJM Governors affirmed this role in their Statement
103 Id. at P 69.
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of Principles Regarding PJM, in which the 13 PJM governors agreed to use all available
authorities to ensure that LSEs allocate the cost to procure new capacity through the RBP to new
data center loads.104 States must take this responsibility seriously. If not, the states risk spreading
RBP costs to all load.
PJM’s filing states that the PJM states will have a central role in protecting their
ratepayers from cost shifts from the RBP.105 The RBP relies on each of the states to refine cost
allocation to determine which retail loads should be allocated the cost of the procurement.106 If
states do not adopt adequate tariffs, costs from the RBP may be allocated to residential customers
or small industrial or commercial customers.
Under the current RBP proposal, LSEs that forecast data center load and procure capacity
for that load in the RBP may be left with enormous costs if that forecasted load does not show
up. Because PJM proposes that LSE defaults will result in the allocation of the defaulted costs to
other LSEs hosting large loads, if one LSE cannot cover the stranded costs resulting from data
centers failing to materialize, then the rest of the LSEs with RBP obligations may be left holding
the bill. There is a real risk of this outcome occurring. The CEOs of Constellation Energy and
Vistra Energy have both warned their investors about the risks of overbuilding.107 In a 2025
earnings call, Vistra CEO James Burke stated that load “interconnect queues . . . may be
overstated from three to five times what might actually materialize in regulated markets or
104 Statement from the White House Nat’l Energy Dominance Council & PJM Governors of
Principles Regarding PJM, 2 (Jan. 15, 2026), https://www.energy.gov/documents/statement-
principles-regarding-pjm.
105 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 10.
106 Id. at 11.
107 Cathy Kunkel & Dennis Wamsted, Risk of AI-Driven, Overbuilt Infrastructure is Real, Inst.
for Energy Econ. and Fin. Analysis (Jun. 3, 2025), https://ieefa.org/resources/risk-ai-driven-
overbuilt-infrastructure-real.
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competitive markets.”108 Expert estimates in 2024 stated that, nationally, utilities are planning for
50% more demand than the tech industry is projecting.109 Similarly, in November 2025, experts
estimated that utility forecasts were overstating data center load growth by almost 25 GW.110
If LSEs submit inflated load forecasts for the RBP, there is a risk that PJM will over-
procure capacity for load that will never show up. Nevertheless, PJM will still allocate those
MWs, and the cost responsibility, to those LSEs. For LSEs with data centers that fail to
materialize, this cost responsibility could be burdensome. PJM is expected to pay up to $20
billion for the RBP.111 LSEs can be expected to pay millions of dollars each year depending on
their respective RBP allocations. If data centers fail to show up, LSEs will be left with
millions—or even billions—of dollars in stranded costs. If an LSE has more data centers in its
service area, it can allocate these costs among remaining data centers. However, if all the data
center load in an LSE fails to materialize, ratepayers will foot the bill, or the LSE will have to
default and spread their costs to other LSEs.
The Maryland Office of People’s Counsel (“MD OPC”) has sounded the alarm on this
issue, warning its state Public Service Commission (“PSC”) about the risks of failing to pass
adequate cost allocation tariffs. In comments to the PSC on August 10, 2026, the MD OPC
explains that customers in zones with RBP obligations will be responsible for RBP costs
regardless of whether the large loads included in the utilities’ forecast materialize or are
108 Id.
109 Id.
110 John Wilson et. al, Power Demand Forecasts Revised Up for Third Year Running, Led by
Data Centers, Grid Strategies at 3 (Nov. 2025), https://gridstrategiesllc.com/wp-
content/uploads/Grid-Strategies-National-Load-Growth-Report-2025.pdf.
111 Ethan Howland, PJM Files Backstop Auction Plan at FERC to Meet Capacity Shortfall, Util.
Dive (Aug. 3, 2026), https://www.utilitydive.com/news/pjm-backstop-capacity-auction-ferc-
data-centers/826792/.
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delayed.112 MD OPC estimates that, if the RBP costs are assigned to residential customers in
these zones, Maryland customers may be exposed to $562.8 million in additional costs over 15
years.113 MD OPC warns that residential customers could pay as much as $483.2 million and
$79.6 million in the Potomac Edison and Baltimore Gas and Electric zones, respectively, if
Maryland does not have an established allocation framework for the RBP.114 The RBP could
have similar effects on ratepayers across PJM if states do not step up to do their part.
To prevent this cost-shifting, the Commission should encourage states to require take-or-
pay agreements between LSEs and large load customers for any LSEs participating in the RBP
and require PJM to provide states with enough information to properly allocate costs through
those agreements. These recommendations are consistent with PJM’s objective to allocate RBP
costs to data centers, the Ratepayer Protection Pledge, and with the Commission’s June 18th
Large Load Orders because they will ensure that large loads pay the costs of the capacity
procured to serve them, rather than shifting those costs to other customers, or residential
ratepayers.
Some utilities have already begun to think about how these take-or-pay arrangements
could be implemented. In comments to the MD PSC on August 10, 2026, the Joint Maryland
Exelon Utilities115 urged the PSC to consider requiring an agreement to hold large loads
accountable for capacity costs, similar to a Transmission Security Agreement (TSA), to protect
112 Id.
113 Id.
114 Maryland Office of People’s Counsel Response to the Commission’s Request for Comments,
at 3, Docket No. PC 72 (MD Pub. Serv. Comm’n Aug. 10, 2026),
https://opc.maryland.gov/Portals/0/Files/Publications/Others/20260810%20-
%20OPC%20Comments%20-%20PC72.pdf?ver=-ifE-FBxdPKFNQjWfyueEw%3d%3d.
115 The Joint Maryland Exelon Utilities include Baltimore Gas and Electric Company, Delmarva
Power & Light Company, and Potomac Electric Power Company.
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non-large load customers from RBP capacity costs if the large load fails to materialize.116 The
Commission should uplift these recommendations and encourage other states to develop similar
agreements for RBP costs.
Security agreements like the ones mentioned by the Joint Maryland Exelon Utilities are
consistent with PJM’s objective to allocate the costs of the capacity required to serve data centers
to those data centers and the Ratepayer Protection Pledge. PJM acknowledges that the RBP is “a
product of cooperative federalism” and that state participation will be needed to ensure the
success of the RBP and to protect residential customers from cost-shifts.117 PJM emphasizes that
the states have the jurisdiction to ensure that new large loads, and not residential or small
industrial or commercial customers, are allocated the retail costs associated with the costs of
RBP resources procured at the wholesale level. State-mandated take-or-pay contracts between
LSEs and large load customers align exactly with this structure that PJM outlines in its filing.
Take-or-pay contracts will ensure that costs at the wholesale level are sub-allocated directly to
large-load customers, regardless of whether they materialize or not, thereby protecting residential
and small industrial customers from cost-shifts.
Additionally, take-or-pay agreements are in line with the Ratepayer Protection Pledge
because data centers have pledged to pay the costs of their power, whether they use it or not. The
companies that signed the Ratepayer Protection Pledge have agreed to not only “procure the
generation needed for their energy demand . . . and pay the full cost,” but to also “voluntarily
negotiate new, separate rate structures with their utilities and state governments” and “pay those
116 Joint Comments of the Maryland Exelon Utilities on PJM Reliability Backstop Procurement
Proposal, at 5, Docket No. PC 72 (MD Pub. Serv. Comm’n Aug. 10, 2026),
https://webpscxb.pscmaryland.com/DMS/pc/pc72.
117 RBP Filing, supra note 2, at 10.
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rates for the power and infrastructure brought online for them—whether or not they actually use
the electricity.”118 Take-or-pay agreements are consistent with this pledge because they will
ensure that large loads will pay the cost of the capacity brought online for them whether or not
the large load actually shows up. These agreements will ensure that data centers follow through
on their pledge, instead of leaving residential ratepayers with the bill if data centers fail to
materialize.
Lastly, the take-or-pay agreements are consistent with the spirit of the Commission’s June
18th Large Load Order, which addresses the risk of cost-shifting among transmission customers
due to speculative requests.119 The Commission’s Order was concerned that speculative
transmission service requests on behalf of large loads could result in cost-shifting among
transmission customers.120 The Commission was concerned that other transmission customers
may have to pay increased rates if an Eligible Customer takes less transmission service than
anticipated because a large load is operating at a lower demand than anticipated or fails to
materialize.121
The Commission’s Order found that, to prevent these cost shifts, PJM’s tariff should
require that PJM, the relevant transmission owner, and the Eligible Customer enter into a cost
recovery agreement that requires the Eligible Customer to make a minimum contribution towards
the transmission owner’s revenue requirement if the Eligible Customer takes less transmission
service than anticipated because the large load did not materialize as planned.122 The
118 White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge.
119 Large Load Order, supra note 80, at P 68.
120 Id. at P 79.
121 Id.
122 Id. at P 81.
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Commission preliminarily found that these cost-recovery agreements were necessary to ensure
that Eligible Customers were responsible for paying the costs of large-load driven transmission,
“rather than having those costs paid by other transmission customers that neither caused the need
for nor benefit commensurately from” those transmission upgrades.123
Take-or-pay contracts with respect to the RBP would work similarly to the cost-recovery
agreements outlined in the Commission’s Order and would serve a similar purpose. Like
speculative transmission service requests, speculative data center demand that fails to materialize
could likely result in cost-shifts among PJM’s customers. If a data center fails to materialize as
expected or fails to show up at all, other customers in that LSE, either other large load customers
or non-large load ratepayers, will have to make up the costs, resulting in higher prices for those
customers. An RBP cost-recovery agreement between LSEs and large loads would, like in the
transmission context, protect residential customers from cost-shifts by mandating that large loads
pay a minimum contribution towards an LSE’s RBP obligation if those large loads fail to
materialize as expected. Like the cost-recovery agreements proposed in the Commission’s Order,
take-or-pay agreements would ensure that the costs of capacity procured to service large loads
would be paid by the large load that caused the need for the RBP, rather than the LSE’s other
customers.
To mandate these take-or-pay agreements, PJM states must have the information needed
to allocate the RBP costs to the appropriate customers. In addition to preliminarily finding that
PJM must develop cost-recovery agreements, the Commission’s Large Load Order also found
that PJM must provide clear, timely, and detailed information on their website regarding
Network Upgrades for Eligible Customers and information about the costs of those upgrades.
123 Id.
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The Commission was concerned that PJM lacked adequate cost transparency measures to
provide stakeholders with the information and visibility needed to allocate costs driven by large
loads.124 The Commission found that the cost transparency measures it proposed in its Order will
allow state public utility commissions and other state regulators to understand which costs are
caused by which customers, so that they can allocate those costs to the appropriate retail
customers.125
Similarly detailed information will be necessary in the RBP context. States will need to
have enough information about which large loads are associated with certain RBP costs to sub-
allocate those costs to large loads at the retail level. Like the Commission stated in its Large
Load Order, PJM should be required to provide clear, timely, and detailed information about
RBP costs to states to ensure that states have enough information to mandate take-or-pay
agreements between LSEs and large loads that adequately ensure that large loads pay for the
costs of RBP capacity procured on their behalf, whether or not they materialize as expected.
Conclusion
PJM’s RBP filing generally presents a just and reasonable mechanism to procure capacity
for large loads that are currently causing a shortfall in PJM’s capacity market and to facilitate the
allocation of costs to large loads while respecting state jurisdiction over retail rates. However,
PJM’s failure to include any requirement as to the location of RBP supply resources will increase
the RBP’s reliance on large, costly network upgrades that threaten to delay when supply can
become deliverable to the large loads that need it. The modification described above to require
RBP supply to either be located near to demand, or to be fully responsible for the cost of network
124 Id. at P 74.
125 Id. at P 70.
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upgrades, will help the RBP better achieve its objectives of bringing needed new supply online
promptly and to allocate costs to large loads rather than shifting costs to others. Accordingly,
PIOs respectfully request that the Commission approve the RBP filing with the modification
described above.
DATED: August 21, 2026
Respectfully submitted,
SIERRA CLUB
/s/ Aaliyah Adkins
Aaliyah Adkins
Earthjustice
1400 L St NW
Lobby 2, Unit 34117
Washington DC 20005
(202) 797-5253
aadkins@earthjustice.org
/s/ Nick Lawton
Nick Lawton
Earthjustice
1400 L St NW
Lobby 2, Unit 34117
Washington DC 20005
(202) 780-4835
nlawton@earthjustice.org
/s/ Justin Vickers
Justin Vickers
Senior Attorney
Sierra Club
2101 Webster St., 13th Floor
Oakland, CA 94612
(224) 420-0614
justin.vickers@sierraclub.org
Counsel for Sierra Club
NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE
COUNCIL
/s/ Claire Lang-Ree
Claire Lang-Ree
Advocate, Sustainable FERC Project
NRDC
40 W 20th St
New York, NY, 11238
clangree@nrdc.org
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CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that the foregoing has been served in accordance with 18 C.F.R. §
385.2010 upon each party designated in the official service list compiled by the Secretary in this
proceeding, by email.
/s/ Aaliyah Adkins
Aaliyah Adkins
Earthjustice
1400 L St NW
Lobby 2, Unit 34117
Washington DC 20005
(202) 797-5253
aadkins@earthjustice.org